How to Read the Step in the Market and Take Advantage of the Signals It Generates

Webinars
20 May 2024

In this webinar, we had an engaging and insightful session in the second part of our nine-part webinar series hosted by Lachlan Elsworth. This series, brought to you by The Trading Pit, aims to provide traders with practical strategies to enhance their trading skills. In this session, we delved into the concept of "stair-stepping" in trading, focusing on live charts and real-time analysis.

Introduction

The session's primary focus was on stair-stepping, a technique essential for identifying trends and reversals in trading. Lachlan emphasised the importance of live chart analysis, highlighting that real-time examples provide a more accurate and practical understanding than reviewing past trades.

Understanding Stair-Stepping

Lachlan explained that every trend and continuation trade follows the stair-step pattern, making it crucial for traders to recognise and leverage these steps. He demonstrated this using live charts, marking extreme highs and lows to illustrate how to draw and interpret these steps.

History of Stair Stepping
Stair stepping is a trading strategy in day trading that involves identifying and capitalising on price movements that occur in a step-like pattern. The concept revolves around the idea that prices often move in a series of steps or levels, with each step representing a new support or resistance level. Here's a detailed look at the history and development of stair-stepping in day trading:

Early Concepts and Technical Analysis

  • Early 20th Century: The foundation of technical analysis was laid by pioneers like Charles Dow, who introduced the Dow Theory. The theory suggests that stock prices move in trends, which can be identified and analysed to predict future movements.

  • Support and Resistance: The concepts of support and resistance were fundamental to early technical analysis. These levels were seen as psychological barriers where prices would pause or reverse, forming the basis for the stair-stepping approach.


Development of Modern Technical Indicators

  • 1960s-1970s: The development of modern technical indicators, such as moving averages, the Relative Strength Index (RSI), and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), provided traders with tools to better identify and confirm the stair-stepping patterns.

  • Chart Patterns: Traders began to recognise specific chart patterns that exhibited stair-step characteristics, such as flags, pennants, and channels. These patterns indicated the continuation or reversal of price trends in a step-like fashion.

Key Elements of Stair-Stepping Strategy

  • Trend Identification: The first step in a stair-stepping strategy is to identify a strong trend. This involves using technical indicators and chart analysis to determine the overall direction of the market.

  • Support and Resistance Levels: Traders look for key support and resistance levels where prices are likely to pause or reverse. These levels form the "steps" in the stair-stepping pattern.

  • Entry and Exit Points: Traders plan their entry and exit points based on the identified levels. They aim to buy at support levels and sell at resistance levels, or vice versa in a downtrend.

  • Risk Management: Effective stair-stepping strategies involve strict risk management rules to protect against unexpected price movements. This includes setting stop-loss orders and determining position sizes based on risk tolerance.

 

Watch the Full Webinar

We've embedded the webinar video below for those who want to dive deeper into Lachlan's trading strategies and see the live examples in action. Don't miss out on the opportunity to learn directly from an expert!



Risks and Limitations of Stair Stepping

While Stair Stepping is a useful tool, it's not foolproof. It's important to remember that patterns can break unexpectedly. Market news and events can disrupt patterns. Therefore, traders should always stay updated on market conditions. Lastly, relying solely on Stair Stepping for trading decisions can be risky. It's best to combine it with other trading signals.


Incorporating Stair Stepping into Your Trading Strategy

Incorporating stair-stepping into a trading strategy requires a disciplined approach and an understanding of market dynamics.


The Role of Patience

Stair-stepping is not a strategy that suits all trading styles, particularly those looking for quick profits. It often requires patience, as the formation of steps and the confirmation of trends can take time to develop.

 

The Benefits and Limitations of Stair Stepping

Stair stepping, like any trading pattern, comes with its set of benefits and limitations that traders should be aware of.

Advantages of Stair Stepping

  • It provides a clear visual representation of the trend.

  • It helps traders make informed decisions based on the observed strength of the market.

  • It can be applied in both rising and falling markets.

 

Limitations to Consider

  • Stair-stepping may be less effective in highly volatile or sideways markets.

  • It requires constant monitoring of live charts, which may not be feasible for all traders.

  • False signals can occur, leading to potential losses.

 

Practical Application on Live Charts

Lachlan shared his screen to walk attendees through live trading scenarios. He showcased how to apply stair-stepping in real-time, emphasising the importance of waiting for the candle to close before making a trade. This approach ensures that traders join the prevailing trend with confidence.

 

Key highlights included:

  1. Identifying Strong Candles: Lachlan pointed out that strong buying or selling candles are often two to three times larger than preceding candles. These candles signal potential entry points for traders.

  2. Reversal Patterns: He explained how to spot reversal signals, such as the "M" pattern for market downturns and the "W" pattern for market upturns. These patterns are crucial for recognising when the market is likely to change direction.

  3. Risk Management: Lachlan stressed the importance of managing risk by setting appropriate stop losses and understanding the potential rewards. He shared examples of trades where managing risk effectively led to significant profits.


Interactive Q&A Session

Throughout the webinar, Lachlan encouraged questions and interactions via the chat function. He addressed queries about daily trading goals, the importance of consistency, and how to handle different market conditions. The interactive nature of the session ensured that participants could clarify doubts and gain a deeper understanding of the concepts discussed.

 

Importance of Consistency and Goal Setting

Lachlan emphasised the significance of setting achievable daily trading goals. He suggested aiming for consistent daily profits, starting with modest targets such as $200 to $300 or even $500 per day. Over time, these targets can be adjusted as traders become more proficient. Consistency is key, and Lachlan advised traders to focus on mastering one-time slots, such as the European or US Open, to build expertise and confidence.

Leveraging Technology and Resources

The session also highlighted the resources available to traders, including YouTube recordings of the webinars for review and reinforcement. Lachlan encouraged attendees to watch these recordings to solidify their understanding and apply the concepts in their trading practices.

Conclusion and Key Takeaways

Lachlan wrapped up the session by encouraging traders to continue honing their skills and to participate in future webinars. He reiterated the importance of consistency, discipline, and continuous learning in achieving trading success.

In summary, Lachlan's webinar provided a wealth of information on the stair-stepping technique and the importance of live chart analysis. By setting realistic goals, understanding market dynamics, and focusing on key performance indicators, traders can significantly improve their chances of success. Remember, consistent learning and practice are key to mastering the art of trading. As with any strategy, it's important to stair-stepping with solid risk management and a disciplined approach. With these elements in place, traders can harness the power of stair-stepping and live charts to potentially improve their trading outcomes.

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Risk Disclosure:

All content and information on this website is for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Also, remember that results achieved in the past are no guarantee of future results. It is essential to understand the risks associated with trading. If you are unsure, always consult an independent financial advisor.